Wed 21 Mar 2007
So here is a worst case scenario for 2008:
Lets say there is a clear Democratic frontrunner, probably Hillary or Obama. By Feb 5th they have the votes locked up for the nomination and then they start campaigning.
Lets also say there isn’t a clean GOP frontrunner. No candidate has a lock on the nomination, and they are all campaigning to win the votes of delegates on the 3rd ballot.
The Dem candidate can go into full fundraising mode, he/she has the lock and that party can unite behind their candidate in Feburary.
The GOP won’t unite till September once the convention is over. There will surely be sore-loser supporters who won’t support the eventual nominee.
Furthermore, the nominee will have had to promise all sorts of things to GOP special interest groups. That will make him that much harder to sell to independents in the General election.
Of course, by the end of the year, there could be a clear GOP frontrunner and no Democratic frontrunner and this all works in our favor. And I still think a national primary day is the only thing that is going to get rid of the stupidity of Ag Subsidies, so it could be worth it in the long run.
March 21st, 2007 at 10:19 pm
Now let me give you the prognosis from the Democrat perspective.
We have 4 solid candidates right now. Edwards, Obama, Clinton, and Gore. (Yes, Gore. He could announce at any moment) During primary season this diversity will kill us. Funding will be split 3-4 ways. Our candidates will destroy each other.
By the time of the general election, the republicans will once again demolish us in fund raising. We will once again be scratching our heads wonding how we could lose following a president with 30% approval ratings.
On our side, I’d like for Obama and Clinton to get together, flip a coin and the winner gets to be the presidential nominee, loser vice president. Now. Before thigns get out of hand.
-Chris