With zero percent of the precincts reporting in, I think its sale to declare the American People the loser, just like 2000, 1996, 1992, 1988, 1984, 1980, 1976, 1972, 1968, 1964, 1960, 1956, 1952, 1948, 1944, 1940, 1936, 1932, 1928…….

As for my real prediction:
Kerry will win by an electoral and popular landslide (10% or more). He will claim a mandate. Democratic senatorial candidates will follow Kerry’s coat-tails to taking control of the Senate. The House will have slim Republican majority. There will be lawsuits, probably in Florida and Colorado, but they will not be big media stories nor will they really affect the outcome.

How will this come about:

  1. All the polls are very tied. However polls don’t factor in cell phone only users. Most cell phone only users are in the 18-30 range. Most of them will be first time voters registered by MoveOn and Dean organizations. They will vote for Kerry.
  2. The Hate-Bush factor is much stronger than the Hate-Kerry/Support-Bush factor. I’ve run into a lot of people who have never been interested in politics who are getting involved to defeat Bush. Look at my friends list, I’ve got a lot of conservative/libertarian friends who can find no reason to support Bush.
  3. Lines at the polls are expected to be long and early voting wait times have been up to 4 hours. This helps Kerry because the hate-Bush motivation is stronger than the pro-Bush factor. These wait time also mean there are a lot more voters than expected. Strong voter turnout is often due to dissatisfaction with the current incumbent.

What can we see out of a Kerry Administration with a mandate:

  1. Expect to see the definition of Terrorism expanded under Attorney-General Hillary Clinton while the Patriot Act remains enforce.
  2. After the stinging GOP defeat, House leadership will roll over and do as Kerry tells it, hoping they can hold on to power.
  3. The midterm elections will hand the House to the Democrats, giving the Democrats the House, Senate, and Presidency. We saw what government expansion occurred when the “small government” party had all three, image what we will have after the “big government” party gets to dictate its agenda.
  4. An expanded Assault Weapons Ban will be passed. Expect most handguns to be banned.
  5. National ID will be passed
  6. Taxes will be raised, and the talking heads will spin the Bush defeat as a referendum against lowering taxes.
  7. US will join Koyto & the International Criminal Court.
  8. We will pull out of an unfinished Iraq by March.
  9. US casualties will jump as the terrorists realize they can control US policy.
  10. The Democrats will “fix” the Social Security problem by eliminating the salary cap. They may also decide that people who have made over a certain salary won’t get benefits.
  11. Trial Lawyers will nix any socialized medicine system. They are too dependent on medical malpractice suits and they don’t want to have to deal with the doctrine of soverign immunity.